Warsh Just Hiked the September Odds to 60%. Friday Decides
Warsh's Jackson Hole speech on Friday was hawkish enough to reprice September's rate hike from a 38% probability to 60.4% overnight
NVDA Beat by 4.5%. Guided Above Consensus. Stock Fell. Here's Why
NVIDIA just delivered its fifth consecutive earnings beat — revenue up 106% year-over-year, data center at $89 billion, Q3 guidance above what analysts expected.
NVDA Reports Tonight. Five Names Move With It
NVIDIA's earnings call tonight resolves the biggest contested debate in your portfolio. But NVDA isn't the only name that moves.
Gold Surged 3.5%. Touched $4,500. Treasury Doubled Buybacks. Fed Overruled
Gold is now up 15% in August alone — its strongest monthly gain since September 1999 — driven by Treasury doubling long-dated bond buybacks while the Fed's own minutes showed officials wanted to hike
NVDA Wednesday. Warsh Friday. Your Portfolio Has Two Days That Matter
Two events this week that move different parts of your portfolio in different directions. NVIDIA's earnings print Wednesday resolves the AI chip cycle question
Brent's at $93 and Climbing. Your Energy Positions Need a Framework
The US-Iran MOU expired Monday with no deal, the UAE just sanctioned Iran, and Brent has risen four consecutive sessions — XOM is up 30% YTD
Home Depot Beat. Housing's Still Frozen Solid.
Comps rose 1.7% in a market the CFO calls frozen. Here's what that split means for your position — and for the dividend you're counting on.
Sentiment Hit 51 — Four Retailers Answer This Week
Four retailers report in three days and the July Fed minutes land in the middle. Your index funds sit at a record. The shoppers funding that record don't.
Record Quarter, 5% Drop: What AMAT Just Told You
Applied Materials beat on revenue, on earnings, and on margin — then lost about 5% anyway. Here's what that gap says about the price your growth holdings are carrying into the back half of your year.
Your Power Bill Rose 4.2%. Your Utility Position Didn't.
Electricity was the quiet line in yesterday's CPI, and the demand behind it is already under contract into the 2030s. Your meter and your dividend now run off the same buildout.
Memory Stocks Halved. Boards Authorized $15.5 Billion More.
Four names in your index funds just got repriced hard. And their boards responded by authorizing billions to buy the stock back.
Your Intel Stake Just Got 4% Smaller Overnight
Intel raised $20 billion overnight by selling new stock at $95. Here's what that does to the shares you already own — and what it tells you about who's funding the AI build-out.